Regional aircraft assembler ATR has projected demand for up to 300 50-seat regional jets over the next two decades. This demand outlook was driven by an equivalent number of retirements of such jets over the next 10 years.
The projection was based on insights from Georgia Tech and Seabury Airline Strategy Group, which ATR said confirmed a “strong potential” for ATR turboprops.
The manufacturer said the Georgia Tech study shows that the retirements of the turboprops fleet is creating a “critical void” in the US network.
“With around 300 aircraft expected to exit the market within the next 10 years, almost one in 10 regional airports are projected to lose all scheduled air service,” ATR said in a statement. “This trend threatens to deepen regional isolation, increase travel times, and reduce economic opportunities for underserved areas.”
“Our research shows that the retirement of 50-seat jets is not just an airline issue, it’s a national connectivity challenge,” said Georgia Tech’s Aerospace Systems Design Laboratory. “Without a viable replacement, entire communities risk being cut off from the air transport network.”
Seabury ASG managing director Rich Scheff commented: “Our analysis confirms that a modern, efficient 50-seater like ATR’s can unlock significant value for US airlines and communities alike.”
ATR SVP commercial Alexis Vidal commented: “With 300 regional jets retiring and dozens of communities facing the real possibility of losing air service, this is about more than aircraft.”